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Afghanistan War, arab spring, China, Cold War II, economics, France New Militarism, headlines, international history and affairs analysis, Iran War, Libya, media watch, Military Analysis, NATO, Political Analysis, Psychological Analysis, recommendations, security, Syrian Crisis, UK New Strategy, UN, US

Revision: Iran Will (i.e. Will) Win A War Against Any Possible Western Aggression in Persia.


I, as many, in the past, armed with a limited resources and sources, have stated Iran will be beaten to the ground by US-led coalition in the coming war, but here I want to revise completely my old thesis, and say, after what I just saw, few numbers and few materials, and after spending two weeks or so, hence, the recent quiteness (dissapearing act for such a period), I can, at the present, that it (might change in future), outright say, Iran will, not might, or probably, neither but, Iranians will win outright the protracted, yes it will be a protracted war with only benefit to the arms and financial industries of the west, war.

War is an economic policy, 98% of the time, and 2% political and security. This one will be another for economic reasons, not political or security, and the west, if they follow the arms lobbying groups, they will lose far more than these actor (and thus, states economies) will benefit with.

In short, cost-benefit is not acceptable to both sides, and far more for the west. Wer have already, the west, lost a 1/3 of the Maghreb, and a critical 1/4 of the Sahel-horn of africa, and 1/2 of the core middle east, while the Russians and Chinese, are dancing in joy, as we go around creating fires and further divisions with the locals, rather putting these out, and winning others.

Iran, will be American’s Suez and Algeria, in one, which will mean back to chaos, of armed blocs, again. The return of hot wars, not cold.

I will stop here.

Few Headlines of Interests for My Readers:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/25/us-libya-talks-idUSTRE80O1WN20120125

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/education/education-news/new-tables-reveal-how-disadvantaged-pupils-fall-behind-6295000.html

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/jan/25/scots-gain-momentum-for-split-
from-england/

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/25/us-afghanistan-nightraids-idUSTRE80O16B20120125

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/25/us-hsbc-probe-idUSTRE80O1FH20120125

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/223150.html

http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,811507,00.html

http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,811134,00.html

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/26/us-vatican-corruption-idUSTRE80P1EF20120126

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/26/us-david-rohde-drone-wars-idUSTRE80P11I20120126

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_security

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jan/26/pentagon-cut-us-ground-troops

http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2012/jan/27/twitter-censor-tweets-by-country

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2092234/RBS-chief-Stephen-Hester-pockets-huge-1m-bonus.html

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2092300/The-U-S-wants-control-says-Putin-blasts-America-interfering-countries-affairs.html

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jan/27/boko-haram-nigeria-sharia-law

http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/jan/27/labour-credible-economy-douglas-alexander

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/piracy/9046085/US-building-mothership-for-launching-Navy-Seal-raids.html

http://europe.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203363504577187420287098692.html?mod=WSJEurope_hpp_LEFTTopStories

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203806504577177074111336352.html?mod=WSJEUROPE_hpp_MIDDLETopNews

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204573704577188101081877504.html?mod=WSJEUROPE_hpp_MIDDLETopNews

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/in-libya-rebels-still-dominate-tripoli-streets/2012/01/14/gIQAwPF1UQ_story.html

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/jan/26/us-data-sharing-system-will-take-5-years-to-fix/

http://rt.com/usa/news/stratfor-occupy-firm-law-899/

http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/01/the-political-consequences-of-a-drones-first-policy/252129/

http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/01/elite-wall-street-donations-jumped-700-in-the-last-20-years/252148/

http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/01/the-fbi-wants-to-read-your-tweets/252059/

http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2012/jan/28/news-international-four-men-arrested

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About s.s.salim: Geopolitical Analyst

Political & Strategy Defence & Security Intelligence & Communications

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