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2012, arab spring, headlines, international history and affairs analysis, Iran War, islamic papers, Libya, media watch, Military Analysis, Political Analysis, recommendations, security, Syrian Crisis

2011: The Official Independence Year For The #MiddleEast


The Year of Independence:

2011 will forever be remember in the annals of history books as the offficial year that which saw the almost completion of the Arabs Independence from the western mandated powers of post-WWII.

The Random Events and the Consequences:

The so-called Arab Spring, the Rise of Islamists parties and the continuing armed struggles, internal and external, the fall of the old regimes, the last frontiers of western challenges (Iran and Syria), all have contributed cumulatively and sequential to bring about a full independence of the region, with the potential for further autonomous progress, however, not before, the natural order of a local regional civil wars.

The Coming Regional Civil War:

Civil wars are not avoidable, sadly, in the region. The Islamists, the young revolutionaries, the old schools, the reformists, the extremists, secessionists, western-friends and so forth, all will be engaged in a long, at least ten, twenty years or so, brutal or even covertly civil wars, fighting for political power and dominance.

The Aftermath:

The remaining question is who will come out the winner?

My predictive anaytically-based answer, the pan-Arab Islamists, with agenda to bring in a ‘federal union’ of sort in the region in order to check any further new attempts to regain control of thye region from the foreign parties.

Recommendation For The West:

One important thing to remember this is not a ‘global Islamic Revolution’ but an Arab political protest, similar to that which saw the rise of Baathist parties. What is the significance of this point, simple the west should be very weary and cautios that their approach might just turn the Arab-protest into an Islamic-Protest.

The Usual Headlines For Readers:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2084892/Radio-4-gaffe-Ed-Miliband-quizzed-appearance-hurt-chances-voters.html

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2084971/Cage-dogs-Hong-Kong-The-tragedy-thousands-living-4ft-2ft-rabbit-hutches–city-Louis-Vuitton-shops-Paris.html

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/law-and-order/9005656/Crime-victims-told-to-call-101-and-pay.html

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203899504577130652607704594.html?mod=WSJEUROPE_hpp_MIDDLESecondNews

http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/carlyle-founders-reap-more-than-134m-each-in-2011/2012/01/10/gIQADze1oP_story.html

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/geithner-finds-chinese-resistant-to-iran-oil-sanctions/2012/01/11/gIQAsw9FqP_story.html

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-challenge-of-getting-the-taliban-to-the-table/2012/01/10/gIQABiBNpP_story.html

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/jan/10/navy-readies-for-chinese-power-grab-on-shipping/

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/11/us/post-traumatic-stress-disorder-may-cause-erratic-driving.html?hp

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/12/business/global/2012-risk-analysis-world-economic-forum.html?hp

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/10/us-italy-mafia-idUSTRE8091YX20120110

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/11/us-yemen-attack-idUSTRE80A0IO20120111

http://pate.blogs.france24.com/article/2012/01/05/presidential-laughing-stock-five-years-sarkozy-gaffes-0

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/220413.html

http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,808068,00.html

http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,808033,00.html

http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2012/01/making-it-in-america/8844/

http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/01/syrias-bashar-al-assad-chooses-the-qaddafi-model/251156/

http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/01/will-the-iran-sanctions-spark-an-international-oil-crisis/251094/

http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/johncassidy/2012/01/in-defense-of-political-journalists.html

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About s.s.salim: Geopolitical Analyst

Political & Strategy Defence & Security Intelligence & Communications

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