We all have, myself included, ruled out any chance of an Iranian strategic benefit from the upcoming war with the west, however, there is always a little option left, the last ‘magic card’, for Iranians this might actually prefer the war to be NOW than the war later down the years or even months. What am I talking about?
Iranian State Martydom Strategy (hereafter, ISMS)
ISMS refers to a calculated strategic plan, that will see;
(a) Iranian state sacrficing itself, knowing that it will be smashed to pieces, especfially if it fights based on conventional approaches.
This means, first, Iranian forces will have to fight unconventional war, from naval, based on submarines, but at the same time, piracy, supported by Indian Ocean ‘freelancers’. On Land, it will have to further disintegrate the structure and the operational-tactical make-up of his forces, meaning, completely throwing-out the older, and well-known, order of battle. In the air, focus as much as possible to deny any control of air space, it is possible, even with limited technologies. Finally, the regional allies micro-operations across the region.
But in short, Iran by embracing ISMS, literally accepts the possible defeat (or at least intial) in the hands of her enemies, and this is where the ”added value” of the strategy kicks in,
(b) this will connect the regional pent-up hatred against US that still lingers on, and the recent ‘Islamic Awakenings’, or ‘Arab Springs’, to finally, destroy whatever advantages the US/West think they have left in the region.
Iranian by accepting the inevitability of the war, and seeking to make it happen right now, will not only kill-off their enemies ‘interest’ in the region once and for all, but she might just prove the intial defeat was only a tactical and valueless, that will in a shorter-term turn into a strategic victory for Iran—the Khomeni Victory, so to speak (where the entire Islamic world was cheering him, and Iran, and the old shiite-Sunni divisions were as if they never existed).
The war might be welcoming for Iranians than for the west, and the sooner the better, with ‘anger and passion’ for ‘revolutions and changes’ still lingering on, and this will probably create a domino-effect on the western supported regimes of the Gulf, finally, seeing their forced removal (left naked and ready prey to be pounced upon).