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A Defining Decade (2000-2010), A Year of Attempted-Protests (2011) & A New Year of Realpolitiks (2012)


A Defining Decade: 2000-2010

So, we all have been lucky to have lived such an eventful and action-packed decade, a truly defining years, from 2000 and the election of perhaps the worst US and any where else in the world, pres. G. W. Bush, Jnr (see this post: https://geopoliticalintelligence.wordpress.com/2011/12/14/george-w-bush-jr-a-man-true-to-his-character-and-so-headlines/), who actually single-handedly redefined the US global positioning from tolerably global leadership in the age of co-operative multi-polarity to intolerably global pariah in the new post-GWOT (global war on terror) defensive multi-polarity (see: https://geopoliticalintelligence.wordpress.com/2011/12/21/the-real-dynamics-of-international-history-affairs-resistance-war-and-revolution-from-the-age-of-alexander-to-the-present-must-read/).

In 2001, there was 9/11, followed by GWOT, see the post above on what real happened, the resistance for the first time went global against any signs of white-Europeans global dominance culture; from regional/national decolonialisation to seemingly, the fight for global-decolonialisation.

In between 2001-2003, the Iraq War II, was already been calculated, and it was one of the most significant event, of the period, within the framework of strategic blunder of GWOT (see the post on How the West lost the rest: https://geopoliticalintelligence.wordpress.com/2011/06/09/the-single-greatest-collective-strategic-defeat-ever-in-history-how-the-west-lost-the-rest/). To date it has not yet been settled, or won.

In between there was the revival of Russia under Putin and the war in Ossetia. The Chinese house-cleaning, on the claims of counter-terrorism, and so forth.

Then came another age of capital-stretch, how capitalism reach the limit again; mind you, this does not mean it broke, it just means it tends to continuously overstretch, or should say, over-indulge in itself (the system is as natural to humans, as socialism and others ideological practises are: see many posts under ‘economics’ page).

So, the events of these past ten years set out the behavioural patterns for the coming years (see my old, and grammar, spelling-prone essays, selected political essays on ‘e-library’ page). What we left out, are the so-called ‘broken trust acts’ of the deacde; lobbyists, political corruption, fraud, corporatism, human right abuses (in democracies), civil liberties, curtailed etc: and these are the trends of what to come as we will see.

The Year of The Protest (Not Revolutions): 2011

2011, resembles history’s own 1848, with a difference. The latter was really attempted-revolutions across Europe, and the ancien regimes (see https://geopoliticalintelligence.wordpress.com/2011/12/22/what-is-a-state-really-and-their-strategic-cultures-importnant-to-understand-their-approaches-to-all-levels-of-politics/), and the former, was mindless, leaderless (uncoordinated) and impact-less protests across the global from the Occupy Movements Trend (see: https://geopoliticalintelligence.wordpress.com/2011/12/15/a-letter-to-the-occupy-movement-on-a-winning-strategy/) to ‘Arab Springs’ , students protests,

In short, all these failed to realise this (https://geopoliticalintelligence.wordpress.com/2011/12/18/the-ruling-cartels-the-realities-of-political-affairs/) factor–it is not the public that control democracies, it is the old ‘ruling families’, so never expect any change or impact of your dramas and protests, and this bring us to the year of counter-protests.

The Year of Firm Re-establishing of Ancien Regimes: 2012

Bankers will be bankers, more wealthier, greedier, and more powerful, see economics, and EU politics, for example the Americanisation model of Goldman-Sachs Rule, is slowly being implemented within the EU, hence, my continuous arguments, that EU will come out of the so-called crises much bigger, united and powerful (Britain strategic blunder of leaving more recent.).

In short 2012 will see, probably;

1. further curtailing of individual rights and freedom.
2. empowering of police and security services over civil liberties (SOPA, one example, my take it’ll pass).
3. the assault on anonymous groups and hacktivism
4. the return of ‘arab theocracies and dictatorial practises, as seen with Maliki of Iraq, Egypt Junta, Bahrain, Afghanistan, Libya etc.
5. the war with Iran, unlikely. and Iran is a nuclear power state, my argument based on indicators.
6. the successes of Islamic fighting groups across the world.
7. the economic signs of improvements for the few, the very rich 1% to the detrimental effects of 99%, which will be further hard hit.
8. the Republican president, probably (unless a little war, or fear is put into play).


and so forth.

GOOD LUCK TO US ALL, AND MAY WE ALL HAVE A GREAT NEW YEAR, EVEN WITH ALL TO COME!!!

Headline:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2011/dec/29/anuj-bidve-shooting-hate-crime-police

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/dec/29/hugo-chavez-us-cancer-plot

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/dec/27/japan-men-sexless-love

http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2011/dec/29/labour-leadership-too-narrow-miliband

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/363239ba-308b-11e1-9436-00144feabdc0,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F363239ba-308b-11e1-9436-00144feabdc0.html&_i_referer=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fhome%2Fuk

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204632204577128923525635122.html?mod=WSJEUROPE_hpp_MIDDLETopNews

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204632204577127513524703868.html?mod=WSJEUROPE_hpp_sections_world

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204319004577086443610310380.html?mod=WSJEUROPE_hpp_sections_world

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/afghanistan-cracks-down-on-contractors/2011/12/27/gIQACafnOP_story.html

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/dec/29/hackers-set-to-dump-intel-analysis-firms-emails/

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/30/world/asia/china-unveils-ambitious-plan-to-explore-space.html?hp

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/12/28/us-oil-idUSTRE7BR0ZL20111228

http://www.france24.com/en/20111230-turkey-pkk-iraq-kurds-airstrike-uprising-military-separatists

http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=9007279394

http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=9007279388

http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,806046,00.html

http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2011/12/top-secret-your-briefing-on-the-cias-cold-war-spy-satellite-big-bird/250629/

http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/12/10-international-stories-to-watch-for-in-2012/250616/

http://www.economist.com/node/21542194

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/12/29/young-people-socialism_n_1175218.html

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/dec/30/barratts-priceless-jobs-redundant-hawkins

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/dec/30/pakistan-court-memogate-inquiry-zardari

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2080534/Will-2012-new-Dark-Age.html

http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/12/unaccountable-killing-machines-the-true-cost-of-us-drones/250661/

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2080445/Oxbridge-Labour-elitist-fails-connect-working-classes-says-Miliband-aide.html

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/culture/tvandradio/bbc/8985074/BBC-presenter-Stephen-Sackur-quits-the-predictions-business.html

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/us-seals-deal-on-348-billion-sale-of-missiles-technology-to-uae-a-close-ally-in-mideast/2011/12/30/gIQAukcYRP_story.html

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About s.s.salim: Geopolitical Analyst

Political & Strategy Defence & Security Intelligence & Communications

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