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My Recent Vindicated Analyses: On Libya & Social Media’s ”New Dot Com” (and China)

The News and headlines across the globe in just this week has been on the great exodus from the Facebook, especially, by individuals from the developed world, and seen as the result of the ”spying technology” (which I looked at on two-parts posts, on ”The Advanced Civil Espionage: How Your Computer Is Looking at You”, with a video based on a security expert investigation of the area). However, my vindication is based on my analysis of the ”new dot com bubble” that came out a few weeks before the major newspapers and news channel start discussing it, in particularly, after the over-speculative value of LinkedIn (see the post on ”The New Dot Com Age”, and look at the date posted). My Analysis was simple, Facebook as any other social media platforms are worthless as investments assets, as they can be easily replicated, and in particular with the facebook it had no ”real USP”, unlike twitter, constant headlines, gossips, from the original sources at your desktop (even with twitter I argued it will pass).

The Next vindicated analysis is Libya, and this link is a must read from the guardian (http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jun/14/libyan-bombing-will-not-budge-gaddafi). Let me quote few quotes that exactly sounds like what I have been saying all along;

1. My argument bombs and violence not the way to rid of the regime;

”Almost three months into the campaign of air strikes, Britain and its Nato allies no longer believe bombing alone will end the conflict in Libya, well-placed government officials have told the Guardian.”

“No one is envisaging a military victory,” said one senior official who echoed Tuesday’s warnings by Admiral Sir Mark Stanhope, head of the navy, that the bombing cannot continue much beyond the summer.”

2. The ”Way-Out” for Gaddaffi, that was denied, rethinking seems at place;

”Instead, they are pinning their hopes on the defection of Muammar Gaddafi’s closest aides, or the Libyan leader’s agreement to flee the country.”

3. The Strained Atlantic Relations, as I had expressed, and Defence Sec., Gates, as well;

”The conflict is also straining relations between Washington and its European allies.”

4. My argument of the lack of ”natural martial capabilities” of the Libyans and so-called ”rebels” (the 30 per cent, not the 70 per cent who are western mercenaries);

”The problems within Nato are mirrored among rebel fighters on the ground in Libya. In Misrata the militia leaders, few with military experience, have failed to coalesce into a co-ordinated army which can undertake manoeuvre operations.”

And from there on, the article finishes with the usual ”journalistic crap-mania”.

However, these are among the recent events that I have predicted with accuracy, not because of anything special, but the ability to deny my ”prejudices” and look at the factors with critical eyes, hence, the African say, ”Those playing the chequers/chess etc, are unable to look at, and appreciate at critical intervals, their own strengths or weaknesses, and vice versa as of enemies, but the spectator, the outsider, is the most well-positioned and informed person at that present time”.

And this is for the Chinese Rise, as The terrible Daily Mail, saw the recent recommissioning of the old Russian Battleship as an aircraft carrier as the day that saw the Chinese stumping their authority and intentions for global dominance (as Alfred T Mahan, the American Navalist, and others before him all recognised, the ‘nation’s eyes’ on the ”command of the sea” is the nation’s intentions towards global power). Here is the Link: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-2002636/Was-week-China-s-rise-world-dominance-finally-unstoppable.html. How does this confer to my prediction, I said that we are actually leaving the age of Confucian Power, already, as I stumped out the economists from IMF predictions that this will come in the year 2015 (see my posts on China).


About s.s.salim: Geopolitical Analyst

Political & Strategy Defence & Security Intelligence & Communications


2 thoughts on “My Recent Vindicated Analyses: On Libya & Social Media’s ”New Dot Com” (and China)

  1. Thank you! Perfectly blog with intertesting content and very good design! If you like interesting photos, you can see my blog http://nikolaygeorgievkotev.wordpress.com/.
    Best wishes

    Posted by nikotev01 | June 15, 2011, 9:24 am

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